Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 11?
Closes April 11, 2026
Markets appear correctly priced with macro signals showing S&P -0.2% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$9K
Liquidity
$18K
Bid / Ask
2% / 3%
Spread
0.50pp
Expert Signal
3%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 11?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 0.50 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 11?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1862479
This event has 7 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,30: 95%, price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,20: 2%, price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,10: 1%.
price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
7% YES
Apr 11, 2026
Current
3% YES (-1.7pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-18.4%
EV per $ wagered
+0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this