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Markets/Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
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Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?

1%YES
99%NO
Vol 24h$15K
Liquidity$12K
Bid / Ask1% / 1%
Spread0.60pp

Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets3 markets

This event has 3 active outcome markets. Kuomintang (KMT): 82%, the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP): 15%, the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP): 1%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~3%.

Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government
82%
Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of
15%

Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local

1%

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

MarketFM Estimate
-0.1pp

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $15K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.60pp.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-20). "Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/814614