Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Wikipedia Attention
This event has 5 active outcome markets. US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: 22%, September 30: 14%, June 30: 9%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~50%.
US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?" at 9% YES / 91% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 8%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00pp. The market closes on June 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-20). "Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 9%, NO 91%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2034723