Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds
Closes April 17, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$297K
Bid / Ask
0% / 1%
Spread
0.90pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.90 percentage points. The market closes on April 17, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1860410
This event has 6 active outcome markets. Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds: 92%, Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5): 56%, Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-4.5): 50%.
there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
47% YES
Apr 10, 2026
Trough probability
1% YES — lowest in period
Apr 10, 2026
Biggest move: -46.0pp
47% → 1%
Apr 10, 2026
Current
1% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this