ForecastMind

Will no listed leader be out before 2027?

2027

Consensus Probability

6%
Weak5%
Polymarket4% avg · 24 markets

Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.

Contributing Markets

VenueMarketYESVolumeRole
PolymarketWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?8%$73Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?1%$16Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?1%$13Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?1%$10Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?2%$6Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?1%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?49%$1Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?1%$739standalone
PolymarketWill Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?1%$684standalone
PolymarketWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?1%$618standalone
PolymarketWill Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?1%$597standalone
PolymarketWill Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?1%$588standalone
PolymarketWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?5%$545standalone
PolymarketWill no listed leader be out before 2027?2%$492standalone
PolymarketWill Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?1%$467standalone
PolymarketWill Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?1%$467standalone
PolymarketWill Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?2%$436standalone
PolymarketWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?16%$383standalone
PolymarketWill Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?1%$235standalone
PolymarketWill Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?2%$235standalone
PolymarketWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?2%$235standalone
PolymarketWill Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?2%$235standalone
PolymarketWill Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?1%$235standalone
PolymarketWill Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?1%$210standalone
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