ForecastMind

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

2028

Consensus Probability

3%
Weak5%
Polymarket5% avg · 39 markets

Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.

Contributing Markets

VenueMarketYESVolumeRole
PolymarketWill Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$404Kstandalone
PolymarketWill JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?2%$265Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?4%$227Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?2%$200Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$196Kstandalone
PolymarketWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?20%$168Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$165Kstandalone
PolymarketWill LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$149Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$136Kstandalone
PolymarketWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$128Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?3%$102Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$86Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$75Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$73Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$70Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?12%$68Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?4%$54Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?3%$46Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$45Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$43Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$41Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$38Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?3%$35Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?18%$35Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$31Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?2%$31Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?5%$28Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$24Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?2%$23Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$22Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$22Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$21Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$18Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$17Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$16Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$12Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$8Kstandalone
PolymarketWill the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?43%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?56%$590standalone