ForecastMind

Will no listed leader be out before 2027?

2027

Consensus Probability

1%
Weak5%
Polymarket4% avg · 24 markets

Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.

Contributing Markets

VenueMarketYESVolumeRole
PolymarketWill Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?1%$49Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?1%$23Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?1%$10Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?1%$7Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?1%$3Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?1%$3Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?1%$811standalone
PolymarketWill Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?43%$771standalone
PolymarketWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?10%$703standalone
PolymarketWill Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?2%$652standalone
PolymarketWill Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?1%$562standalone
PolymarketWill Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?2%$312standalone
PolymarketWill Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?1%$285standalone
PolymarketWill Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?2%$275standalone
PolymarketWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?2%$248standalone
PolymarketWill no listed leader be out before 2027?2%$245standalone
PolymarketWill Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?2%$238standalone
PolymarketWill Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?1%$210standalone
PolymarketWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?5%$153standalone
PolymarketWill Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?1%$150standalone
PolymarketWill Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?1%$150standalone
PolymarketWill Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?1%$150standalone
PolymarketWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?20%$150standalone
PolymarketWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?2%$89standalone
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