Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?
Market Price
FM Estimate
2%low confidence · 3 signals
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
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4 deadline markets. Combined YES = 193% — 93pp excess suggests collective overpricing.
by May 1
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1
Price History · 30 days
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Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $16K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10pp. The market closes on May 15, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-27). "Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1320806