Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?
Closed December 31, 2025
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$142K
Liquidity
$21K
Expert Signal
96%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?
March
6 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.2%
EV per $ wagered
-3.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?" at 96% YES / 4% NO. In the last 24 hours, $142K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 96%. The market closes on December 31, 2025.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 96%, NO 4%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1373779
Go Deeper
Entity Hub
All related markets, signals, and news in one view.
Forecaster Signals
See all markets where experts diverge from Polymarket prices.
Venue Divergence
Where Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt disagree most.
Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
All markets about the same event across venues.
Download 90d CSV
Full price history for your own analysis.