Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Closes March 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$3K
Liquidity
$13K
Bid / Ask
6% / 8%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
7%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?
March
6 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
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Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?" at 7% YES / 93% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 7%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 7%, NO 93%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/677361
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