ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-22?
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Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-22?

Closed March 22, 2026

Polymarket Price

86%YES
14%NO

Volume 24h

$1.4M

Liquidity

$42K

Bid / Ask

86% / 88%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-22?

2026

Full event →

9 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-8.0pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 86%99%
Buy YES@ 86¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 14¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-22?" at 86% YES / 14% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.4M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-22?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 86%, NO 14%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1543391