Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-22?
Closed March 22, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$3.9M
Liquidity
$26K
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will FC Metz win on 2026-03-22?
2026
17 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
43% YES
Mar 22, 2026
Biggest move: -37.0pp
37% → 0%
Mar 22, 2026
Current
0% YES (-37.0pp recent)
Mar 22, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+11.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-22?" at 5% YES / 95% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3.9M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on March 22, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-22?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 5%, NO 95%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1543379
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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