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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-22?
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Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-22?

Closed March 22, 2026

Polymarket Price

72%YES
28%NO

Volume 24h

$327K

Liquidity

$35K

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+71.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

28% YES

Mar 22, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

100%

Mar 22, 2026

Biggest move: +76.0pp

24% → 100%

Mar 22, 2026

Current

100% YES (+76.0pp recent)

Mar 22, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 72%99%
Buy YES@ 72¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 28¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-22?" at 72% YES / 28% NO. In the last 24 hours, $327K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on March 22, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-22?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 72%, NO 28%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1543385