Will Wei Yi win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Closes April 17, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$59K
Liquidity
$9K
Bid / Ask
8% / 10%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
9%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Wei Yi win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
2026
8 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
10% YES
Mar 30, 2026
Current
10% YES (+0.5pp recent)
Mar 30, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Wei Yi win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?" at 9% YES / 91% NO. In the last 24 hours, $59K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 9%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 17, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Will Wei Yi win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 9%, NO 91%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1632627
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