ForecastMind
Markets/76ers vs. Heat
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76ers vs. Heat

Closes March 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

56%YES
44%NO

Volume 24h

$789K

Liquidity

$290K

Bid / Ask

55% / 56%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

56%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Event Distribution

76ers vs. Heat

Full event →
76ers vs. Heat
56%
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 245.5
52%
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 246.5
50%

3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

56% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Current

56% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 56%99%
Buy YES@ 56¢

-0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 44¢
Edge

+1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.9%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO—+1.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "76ers vs. Heat" at 56% YES / 44% NO. In the last 24 hours, $789K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 56%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "76ers vs. Heat." Prediction market snapshot: YES 56%, NO 44%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1704224

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.