ForecastMind
Markets/76ers vs. Heat: O/U 245.5
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76ers vs. Heat: O/U 245.5

Closes March 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

48%YES
52%NO

Volume 24h

$25K

Liquidity

$63K

Bid / Ask

47% / 49%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

48%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Event Distribution

76ers vs. Heat

Full event →

4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-2.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

52% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

50%

Mar 30, 2026

Current

50% YES (-1.0pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 48%99%
Buy YES@ 48¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 52¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "76ers vs. Heat: O/U 245.5" at 48% YES / 52% NO. In the last 24 hours, $25K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 48%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "76ers vs. Heat: O/U 245.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 48%, NO 52%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1784154

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.