Markets/76ers vs. Heat: O/U 246.5

76ers vs. Heat: O/U 246.5

Data as of Mar 30, 2026, 06:22 PM UTC

Closes March 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

50%YES

51%NO

Volume 24h

$17K

Liquidity

$85K

Bid / Ask

45% / 47%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

46%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

Event Distribution

76ers vs. Heat

Full event →

76ers vs. Heat

56%

76ers vs. Heat: 1H Moneyline

53%

76ers vs. Heat: O/U 245.5

48%

76ers vs. Heat: O/U 246.5

46%

4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-3.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

49% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

50%

Mar 30, 2026

Current

46% YES (-2.0pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 50%99%

Buy YES@ 50¢

Edge

+1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.0%

½ Kelly0.5%

Buy NO@ 51¢

-1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "76ers vs. Heat: O/U 246.5" at 50% YES / 50% NO. In the last 24 hours, $17K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 46%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "76ers vs. Heat: O/U 246.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 50%, NO 50%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1785139

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.