Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 1?
Closes April 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$25K
Liquidity
$22K
Bid / Ask
6% / 8%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
11%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 1?" at 11% YES / 89% NO. In the last 24 hours, $25K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 11%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 1?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 11%, NO 89%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1717403
This event has 10 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,0: 44%, price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,0: 42%, price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,0: 11%.
price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on Apri
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
8% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Current
11% YES (+1.5pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+4.8%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this