Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 1?
Closes April 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$16K
Liquidity
$20K
Bid / Ask
6% / 7%
Spread
1.20pp
Expert Signal
6%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 1?" at 6% YES / 94% NO. In the last 24 hours, $16K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 6%. The bid-ask spread is 1.20 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 1?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 6%, NO 94%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1717411
This event has 9 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,0: 45%, price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,0: 43%, price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,0: 6%.
price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on Apri
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
8% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Current
4% YES (-2.1pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-2.4%
EV per $ wagered
+0.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this