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Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 1?
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Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 1?

Closes April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

44%YES
56%NO

Volume 24h

$29K

Liquidity

$19K

Bid / Ask

40% / 41%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

47%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 1?" at 44% YES / 56% NO. In the last 24 hours, $29K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 47%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 1?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 44%, NO 56%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1717407

Outcome Markets9 markets

This event has 9 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,0: 44%, price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,0: 40%, price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,0: 9%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-4.5pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 44%99%
Buy YES@ 44¢
Edge

+1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.9%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 56¢

-0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this