Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 1?
Closes April 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$13K
Liquidity
$24K
Bid / Ask
65% / 66%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
62%
Bayesian YES estimate
Event Distribution
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 1?
April
10 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
71% YES
Mar 30, 2026
Biggest move: -7.5pp
72% → 64%
Mar 30, 2026
Current
60% YES (-2.0pp recent)
Mar 30, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.8%
EV per $ wagered
-1.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 1?" at 66% YES / 34% NO. In the last 24 hours, $13K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 62%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 1?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 66%, NO 34%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1717483
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.