EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Closes January 1, 2027
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$15K
Liquidity
$21K
Bid / Ask
61% / 65%
Spread
4.00pp
Expert Signal
63%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
11 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
55% YES
Mar 27, 2026
Biggest move: +5.0pp
62% → 67%
Mar 28, 2026
Peak probability
67% YES — highest in period
Mar 28, 2026
Current
63% YES (-3.5pp recent)
Mar 28, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?" at 63% YES / 37% NO. In the last 24 hours, $15K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 63%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on January 1, 2027.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-28). "EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 63%, NO 37%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1747817
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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