Will Trump say "Gulf of Trump" in April?
Closes April 30, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$345
Liquidity
$119
Bid / Ask
8% / 69%
Spread
61.00pp
Expert Signal
39%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Trump say "Gulf of Trump" in April?" at 39% YES / 61% NO. In the last 24 hours, $345 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 39%. The bid-ask spread is 61.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will Trump say "Gulf of Trump" in April?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 39%, NO 61%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1808727
This event has 7 active outcome markets. Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in Apr: 70%, Trump say "Trump Account" in April?: 56%, Trump say "Trump Tower" or "Trump Towers" in : 44%.
Trump say "Gulf of Trump" in April?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.3%
EV per $ wagered
-0.8%
EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this