Will Trump say "Trump-Class" or "Trump Fleet" in April?
Closes April 30, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$10K
Liquidity
$5K
Bid / Ask
18% / 20%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
19%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Trump say "Trump-Class" or "Trump Fleet" in April?" at 19% YES / 81% NO. In the last 24 hours, $10K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 19%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will Trump say "Trump-Class" or "Trump Fleet" in April?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 19%, NO 81%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1808744
This event has 7 active outcome markets. Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in Apr: 70%, Trump say "Trump Account" in April?: 56%, Trump say "Trump Tower" or "Trump Towers" in : 44%.
Trump say "Trump-Class" or "Trump Fleet" in April?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
11% YES
Apr 6, 2026
Biggest move: +7.0pp
11% → 18%
Apr 6, 2026
Peak probability
19% YES — highest in period
Apr 6, 2026
Current
19% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 6, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this