ForecastMind
Markets/Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 1?
Share on X

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 1?

Closes April 2, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$6K

Liquidity

$13K

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 1?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 1?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1813904

Outcome Markets10 markets

This event has 10 active outcome markets. Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?: 61%, price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,0: 44%, price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,0: 13%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-0.3pp

Key Moments

First recorded

0% YES

Apr 1, 2026

Current

0% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 1, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this