Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
FM Estimate
27%Market Price
30%Wikipedia Attention
This event has 38 active outcome markets. Chong Won-oh: 89%, Chun Jae-soo: 76%, Kareem Allam: 33%.
Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?" at 30% YES / 70% NO. In the last 24 hours, $670 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 30%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00pp. The market closes on October 17, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-18). "Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 30%, NO 70%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1822537