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Markets/Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
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Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

14%YES
86%NO
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$14K
Bid / Ask14% / 17%
Spread2.90pp
ClosesOct 17, 2026

FM Estimate

12%

Market Price

14%
↑ Overpriced 2.7pp
Macro fundamentals-5.0pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
medium confidence · 2 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets38 markets

This event has 38 active outcome markets. Chong Won-oh: 89%, Chun Jae-soo: 76%, Kareem Allam: 33%.

Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

14%

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

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✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?" at 14% YES / 86% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 14%. The bid-ask spread is 2.90pp. The market closes on October 17, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-18). "Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 14%, NO 86%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1822542