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Markets/Will John Coupar win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
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Will John Coupar win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

4%YES
96%NO
Vol 24h$209
Liquidity$10K
Bid / Ask1% / 6%
Spread4.50pp
ClosesOct 17, 2026

FM Estimate

2%

Market Price

4%
↑ Overpriced 1.5pp
Macro fundamentals-5.0pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
low confidence · 2 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets38 markets

This event has 38 active outcome markets. Chong Won-oh: 89%, Chun Jae-soo: 76%, Kareem Allam: 33%.

John Coupar win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

4%

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

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✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will John Coupar win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $209 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 4.50pp. The market closes on October 17, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-18). "Will John Coupar win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1822539