Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?
Closes May 1, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +1.1pp above current market price; market at 32% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +0.4% ↑, ETH +1.4% ↑, S&P +0.5% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$6K
Liquidity
$78K
Bid / Ask
31% / 32%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
32%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?" at 32% YES / 68% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 32%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on May 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 32%, NO 68%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823800
This event has 10 active outcome markets. Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?: 70%, Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?: 32%, Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?: 13%.
Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
59% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
50%
Apr 2, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
50%
Apr 3, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
50%
Apr 4, 2026
Biggest move: -9.0pp
45% → 36%
Apr 6, 2026
Current
32% YES (-1.0pp recent)
Apr 6, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.6%
EV per $ wagered
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this