Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on April 2?
Closes April 3, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$13K
Liquidity
$12K
Bid / Ask
11% / 12%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
12%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on April 2?" at 59% YES / 41% NO. In the last 24 hours, $13K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 12%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on April 2?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 59%, NO 41%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823958
This event has 17 active outcome markets. Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?: 85%, December 31, 2026: 66%, Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on April 2?: 59%.
Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on April 2?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
40% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Biggest move: -27.5pp
40% → 12%
Apr 2, 2026
Current
12% YES (-27.5pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.9%
EV per $ wagered
-1.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this