Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on April 2?
Closes April 3, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$31K
Liquidity
$21K
Bid / Ask
2% / 3%
Spread
1.70pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on April 2?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $31K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 1.70 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on April 2?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823959
This event has 18 active outcome markets. Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?: 85%, December 31, 2026: 63%, Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?: 48%.
Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on April 2?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
18% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Trough probability
1% YES — lowest in period
Apr 2, 2026
Biggest move: -10.0pp
14% → 4%
Apr 2, 2026
Current
2% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-18.4%
EV per $ wagered
+0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this