Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Closes June 30, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$9K
Liquidity
$35K
Bid / Ask
23% / 24%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
24%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?" at 24% YES / 76% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 24%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on June 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 24%, NO 76%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1832594
This event has 13 active outcome markets. June 30: 47%, June 30: 24%, June 30: 10%.
Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United S
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
28% YES
Apr 3, 2026
Trough probability
22% YES — lowest in period
Apr 5, 2026
Current
23% YES (+1.0pp recent)
Apr 6, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this