Will Donald Trump announce Ted Cruz as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Closes June 30, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$258
Liquidity
$2K
Bid / Ask
0% / 6%
Spread
6.00pp
Expert Signal
3%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Donald Trump announce Ted Cruz as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $258 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 6.00 percentage points. The market closes on June 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Will Donald Trump announce Ted Cruz as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1832603
This event has 13 active outcome markets. June 30: 55%, June 30: 26%, June 30: 7%.
Donald Trump announce Ted Cruz as the next United State
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-6.3%
EV per $ wagered
+0.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this