Will Donald Trump announce Mike Lee as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Closes June 30, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$4K
Liquidity
$5K
Bid / Ask
1% / 3%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Donald Trump announce Mike Lee as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on June 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Will Donald Trump announce Mike Lee as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1832600
This event has 13 active outcome markets. June 30: 55%, June 30: 26%, June 30: 7%.
Donald Trump announce Mike Lee as the next United State
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
0% YES
Apr 3, 2026
Current
1% YES (+0.1pp recent)
Apr 4, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+5.3%
EV per $ wagered
-0.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this