Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 10?
Closes April 10, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +5.4pp above current market price; market at 60% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +1.7% ↑, ETH +1.2% ↑, S&P +0.8% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$7K
Liquidity
$20K
Bid / Ask
64% / 67%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
65%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 10?" at 60% YES / 40% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 65%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 10, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 10?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 60%, NO 40%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1846020
This event has 24 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 9?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 9?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 9?: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 10?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.8%
EV per $ wagered
-1.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this