Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners
Closes April 19, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$902K
Liquidity
$66K
Bid / Ask
17% / 18%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
18%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners" at 18% YES / 82% NO. In the last 24 hours, $902K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 18%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 19, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners." Prediction market snapshot: YES 18%, NO 82%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1890669
This event has 6 active outcome markets. there be a run scored in the first inning?: H: 100%, Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5): 62%, Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5): 56%.
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
40% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Current
37% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 12, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.9%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this