Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5
Closed April 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$26K
Liquidity
$1K
Bid / Ask
62% / 67%
Spread
5.00pp
Expert Signal
68%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5" at 68% YES / 32% NO. In the last 24 hours, $26K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 68%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 68%, NO 32%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1955693
This event has 10 active outcome markets. there be a run scored in the first inning?: H: 100%, Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5: 100%, Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5): 98%.
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
52% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
48%
Apr 12, 2026
Biggest move: +18.5pp
48% → 67%
Apr 12, 2026
Current
67% YES (+18.5pp recent)
Apr 12, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.7%
EV per $ wagered
-1.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this