ForecastMind
Markets/Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners
Share on X

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners

Closes April 19, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES
1%NO

Volume 24h

$1K

Liquidity

$2K

Bid / Ask

99% / 100%

Spread

0.60pp

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.60 percentage points. The market closes on April 19, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1890670

Outcome Markets6 markets

This event has 6 active outcome markets. there be a run scored in the first inning?: H: 100%, Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5): 65%, Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5: 56%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+0.0pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this