Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
FM Estimate
45%Market Price
47%This event has 4 active outcome markets. Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in Apr: 44%, Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in: 37%, Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium : 34%.
Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?" at 37% YES / 63% NO. In the last 24 hours, $15K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 37%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00pp. The market closes on April 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-16). "Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 37%, NO 63%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1921803