Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?
FM Estimate
36%Market Price
39%This event has 4 active outcome markets. Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in Apr: 39%, Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in: 38%, Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium : 24%.
Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?" at 39% YES / 61% NO. In the last 24 hours, $11K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 38%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00pp. The market closes on April 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-16). "Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 39%, NO 61%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1974453