ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Thunder vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 117.5
Share on X

Thunder vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 117.5

Closed April 11, 2026

Polymarket Price

55%YES
45%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$11

Bid / Ask

2% / 9%

Spread

7.00pp

Expert Signal

55%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Thunder vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 117.5" at 55% YES / 45% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 55%. The bid-ask spread is 7.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Thunder vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 117.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 55%, NO 45%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1937368

Outcome Markets8 markets

This event has 8 active outcome markets. Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5: 62%, Thunder vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 117.5: 55%, Thunder vs. Nuggets: 1H Moneyline: 55%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+4.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

45% YES

Apr 10, 2026

Trough probability

39% YES — lowest in period

Apr 11, 2026

Biggest move: +10.5pp

39% → 49%

Apr 11, 2026

Current

49% YES (+10.5pp recent)

Apr 11, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 55%99%
Buy YES@ 55¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 45¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this