ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5
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Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5

Closed April 11, 2026

Polymarket Price

72%YES
28%NO

Volume 24h

$3K

Liquidity

$4K

Bid / Ask

52% / 90%

Spread

38.00pp

Expert Signal

72%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5" at 72% YES / 28% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 72%. The bid-ask spread is 38.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 72%, NO 28%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1942488

Outcome Markets9 markets

This event has 9 active outcome markets. Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5: 78%, Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5: 72%, Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5: 44%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-4.5pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 72%99%
Buy YES@ 72¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 28¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this