US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
FM Estimate
66%Market Price
68%This event has 8 active outcome markets. April 21, 2026: 76%, June 30, 2026: 69%, May 31, 2026: 60%.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?" at 69% YES / 31% NO. In the last 24 hours, $88K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 68%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00pp. The market closes on May 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-16). "US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 69%, NO 31%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1962237