Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
FM Estimate
81%Market Price
84%Wikipedia Attention
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplo: 86%, Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplo: 77%, J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomat: 66%.
J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?" at 66% YES / 34% NO. In the last 24 hours, $273K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 66%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00pp. The market closes on June 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-19). "Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 66%, NO 34%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1986506