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Markets/Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
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Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

77%YES
23%NO
Vol 24h$9K
Liquidity$7K
Bid / Ask69% / 85%
Spread16.00pp
ClosesJun 30, 2026

FM Estimate

75%

Market Price

77%
↑ Overpriced 2.2pp
Macro fundamentals-4.0pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
medium confidence · 2 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplo: 86%, Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplo: 77%, J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomat: 70%.

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

-6.0pp

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?" at 77% YES / 23% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 77%. The bid-ask spread is 16.00pp. The market closes on June 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-19). "Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 77%, NO 23%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1986508