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Markets/Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
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Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

86%YES
14%NO
Vol 24h$8K
Liquidity$16K
Bid / Ask85% / 87%
Spread2.00pp
ClosesJun 30, 2026

FM Estimate

83%

Market Price

86%
↑ Overpriced 2.2pp
Macro fundamentals-4.0pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
medium confidence · 2 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplo: 86%, Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplo: 77%, J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomat: 70%.

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

-8.5pp

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?" at 86% YES / 14% NO. In the last 24 hours, $8K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 86%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00pp. The market closes on June 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-19). "Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 86%, NO 14%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1986507