ForecastMind
Markets/Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Share on X

Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Closes April 13, 2026

Polymarket Price

2%YES
98%NO

Volume 24h

$8K

Liquidity

$50K

Bid / Ask

2% / 2%

Spread

0.20pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence0%
methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will Tom Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament?

2026

Full event →
the 2026 Masters tournament?
18%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
10%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
6%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
6%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
5%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
5%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
4%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
3%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
3%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
3%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
3%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
2%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
2%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
2%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
2%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
2%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
2%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
2%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
2%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%

59 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 2%99%
Buy YES@ 2¢
Edge

+5.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.1%
½ Kelly0.1%
Buy NO@ 98¢

-0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+5.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $8K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.20 percentage points. The market closes on April 13, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/568648