Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Closes April 13, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$23K
Liquidity
$109K
Bid / Ask
17% / 18%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
18%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Tom Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament?
2026
59 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
22% YES
Feb 28, 2026
Current
18% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 23, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.9%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?" at 18% YES / 82% NO. In the last 24 hours, $23K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 18%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 13, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 18%, NO 82%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/568629
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