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Markets/Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?
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Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Closes April 13, 2026

Polymarket Price

3%YES
97%NO

Volume 24h

$22K

Liquidity

$59K

Bid / Ask

3% / 3%

Spread

0.10pp

Expert Signal

3%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence0%
methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will Tom Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament?

2026

Full event →
the 2026 Masters tournament?
18%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
10%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
6%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
6%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
5%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
5%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
4%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
3%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
3%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
3%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
3%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
2%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
2%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
2%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
2%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
2%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
2%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
2%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
2%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%

59 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+1.4pp

Key Moments

First recorded

1% YES

Feb 22, 2026

Current

3% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 21, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 3%99%
Buy YES@ 3¢
Edge

+5.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.2%
½ Kelly0.1%
Buy NO@ 97¢

-0.2%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+5.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.2%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $22K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 13, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/568668