ForecastMind
Markets/Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?
Share on X

Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?

94%YES
6%NO
Vol 24h$85
Liquidity$17K
Bid / Ask93% / 95%
Spread1.80pp
ClosesDec 31, 2026

FM Estimate

93%

Market Price

94%
↑ Overpriced 0.7pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
Macro fundamentals-0.3pp
low confidence · 2 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets6 markets

This event has 6 active outcome markets. Donald Trump visit China in 2026?: 94%, June 30: 85%, May 31: 80%.

Donald Trump visit China in 2026?

94%
Trump visit China by June 30?
85%
Trump visit China by May 31?
80%
Trump visit China by May 15?
79%
Trump visit China by May 8?
1%
Trump visit China by April 30?
1%

Price History · 30 days

Export CSV

Price History

-0.7pp

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?" at 94% YES / 6% NO. In the last 24 hours, $85 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 94%. The bid-ask spread is 1.80pp. The market closes on December 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-21). "Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 94%, NO 6%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/665271